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STPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 17/12/2024
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 121893 has been updated at 1920 hrs 14/12/2024 to the following:
From 1500 hrs 17/12/2024 to 2000 hrs 17/12/2024.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1115 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 318 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
AEMO Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Guybal Munjan - Chalumbin 857 275kV line line and Guybal Munjan - Chalumbin 858 275kV line line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Guybal Munjan - Chalumbin 857 275kV line and Guybal Munjan - Chalumbin 858 275kV line
Duration: 14/12/2024 18:47 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
Q-RSCH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV line and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV
Duration: 14/12/2024 18:39 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
N-ARDM_ARSR_1PH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Strathmore - Clare South No.7208 132 kV line and Strathmore - Clare South tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Strathmore - Clare South No.7208 132 kV and Strathmore - Clare South tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV
Cancellation time: 14/12/2024 18:24
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 121901
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Strathmore - Clare South No.7208 132 kV line and Strathmore - Clare South tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Strathmore - Clare South No.7208 132 kV and Strathmore - Clare South tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV
Cancellation time: 14/12/2024 18:24
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 121902
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Tumoulin - Woree No.877 275 kV line and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Tumoulin - Woree No.877 275 kV and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV
Duration: 14/12/2024 18:22 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV line and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV
Duration: 14/12/2024 18:22 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7125 132 kV line and Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7126 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7125 132 kV and Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7126 132 kV
Cancellation time: 14/12/2024 17:24
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 121895
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
[EventId:202412141700_confirmed] Prices for interval 14-Dec-2024 17:00 are now confirmed
Issued by Australian Energy Market Operator Ltd at 1720 hrs on 14 December 2024
PRICES ARE NOW CONFIRMED for trading interval 14-Dec-2024 17:00.
In accordance with Market Notice 121906 AEMO has reviewed this trading interval and determined that:
- Manifestly Incorrect Inputs did not apply
Prices remain unchanged.
This is an AEMO autogenerated Market Notice.