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Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL1) condition in the VIC region on 16/02/2025
AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC region on 16/02/2025.
Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when regional demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
o MSL1 - 2060 MW
o MSL2 - 1560 MW
o MSL3 - 1060 MW
The regional demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period:
From 1130 hrs to 1430 hrs 16/02/2025. Minimum regional demand is forecast to be 1838 MW at 1330 hrs.
Forecast regional demand (DEMAND50) is published in Short Term and Pre-Dispatch PASA region solution reports available on Market Data NEMWEB: https://aemo.com.au/en/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/market-data-nemweb .
AEMO Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 07/02/2025
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 124290 has been updated to the following:
[1.] From 1630 hrs 07/02/2025 to 1900 hrs 07/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1034 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 07/02/2025
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Period:
[1.] From 1730 hrs 07/02/2025 to 1900 hrs 07/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1185 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Cancellation of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 07/02/2025
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 124287 is cancelled at 0415 hrs 07/02/2025.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 07/02/2025
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Period:
[1.] From 1700 hrs 07/02/2025 to 1900 hrs 07/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1121 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Cancellation of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 06/02/2025
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 124277 is cancelled at 2120 hrs 06/02/2025.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 07/02/2025
AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following period:
From 1630 hrs 07/02/2025 to 1700 hrs 07/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1296 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 06/02/2025
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Periods:
[1.] From 1730 hrs 06/02/2025 to 1800 hrs 06/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1347 MW.
[2.] From 1630 hrs 07/02/2025 to 1700 hrs 07/02/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1248 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
STPASA - Cancellation of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the SA Region on 11/02/2025
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the SA region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 124094 is cancelled at 1400 hrs 06/02/2025.
No LOR condition is currently forecast in the STPASA period.
AEMO Operations