2022 Forecasting Assumptions Update

Consultation timeline

Matter under consultation

AEMO delivers a range of forecasting and planning publications for the National Electricity Market (NEM). This consultation related to the to updated assumptions to apply in the Reliability Forecast for the NEM, prepared in accordance with the Australian Energy Regulator's Forecasting Best Practice Guidelines (FBPG).

AEMO prepared this 2022 Forecasting Assumptions Update (Assumptions Update) report, and an accompanying Assumptions Workbook which contains the updated data. This report complements the 2021 Inputs, Assumptions and Scenarios Report (IASR), finalised in July 2021.

This draft Assumptions Update used the latest information available to update assumptions specifically relevant to near-term supply adequacy assessments for the 2022 Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) and the 2022 Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO).

The minor updates consulted upon include (but are not limited to):

• Updated gas prices

• Updated technology costs