AEMO is currently consulting on its Electricity Demand Forecasting Methodology under section 2.1 of the AER’s Forecasting Best Practice Guidelines in accordance with the consultation process in Appendix A. The Methodology forms part of AEMO’s Forecasting Approach.
As AEMO has not previously formally consulted on this methodology under the requirements of the Forecasting Best Practice Guidelines, AEMO invites comment from stakeholders on any matter contained in the methodology. To aid stakeholders in providing feedback, several questions are posed throughout the methodology.
AEMO notes that historically the methodology has been updated and published annually. This version’s main difference to prior versions is the removal of inputs and assumptions, which are now covered in AEMO’s Inputs, Assumptions and Scenarios Report[1] (IASR).
[1] See: https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/major-publications/integrated-system-plan-isp/2022-integrated-system-plan-isp/current-inputs-assumptions-and-scenarios.
The Consultation Process
Updated methodology following FRG Consultation
Second stage consultation documents
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16/03/2021
Electricity Demand Forecast Methodology Draft Determination
607.55 KB -
16/03/2021
Draft Electricity Demand Forecasting Methodology
7.22 MB -
16/03/2021
Draft Electricity Demand Forecasting Methodology Tracked
7.31 MB -
16/03/2021
Electricity Demand Forecasting Methodology Draft Determination Examples
88.43 KB -
16/03/2021
CitiPower Submission
241.83 KB -
16/03/2021
Delloitte Submission
98.73 KB -
16/03/2021
ERM Submission
527.78 KB -
16/03/2021
MEU Submission
108.54 KB -
16/03/2021
QEUN Submission
549.52 KB
Consultation Timeline
Consultation steps |
Dates |
Information workshop |
19 September 2022 |
Consultation paper published |
31 October 2022 |
Submissions due on consultation paper |
6 December 2022 |
Draft report published |
7 February 2023 |
Submissions due on draft report |
15 March 2023 |
Final report published |
8 June 2023 |
Invitation to Make Submissions
AEMO invites written submissions in response to this Notice of First Stage of Rules Consultation. Submissions should be sent by email to FPPconsultation@aemo.com.au, to reach AEMO by 5.00pm (AEDT) on 6 December 2022.
All submissions must be forwarded in electronic format (both pdf and Word).
Please identify any parts of your submission that you wish to remain confidential and explain why. AEMO may still publish that information if it does not consider it to be confidential but will consult with you before doing so.
Please note that material identified as confidential may be given less weight in the decision-making process than material that is published.
Submissions received after the closing date and time will not be valid, and AEMO is not obliged to consider them. Any late submissions should explain the reason for lateness and the detriment to you if AEMO does not consider your submission.
All submissions will be published on AEMO’s website, other than confidential content.
Meetings
In your submission, you may request a meeting with AEMO to discuss the matter under consultation, stating why you consider a meeting is necessary or desirable.
If appropriate, meetings may be held jointly with other Consulted Persons. Subject to confidentiality restrictions, AEMO will generally make details of matters discussed at a meeting available to other Consulted Persons and may publish them.